Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.364402 0.432314 0.508182 0.599048 0.704739 0.823614 0.967263
2025-01-05 0.266821 0.355300 0.464822 0.609616 0.795183 1.024115 1.326933
2025-01-12 0.207227 0.300816 0.425811 0.603437 0.847559 1.169195 1.622536
2025-01-19 0.168589 0.263130 0.397657 0.600576 0.895840 1.306090 1.914526
2025-01-26 0.147510 0.245097 0.391717 0.624382 0.979613 1.495599 2.293863
2025-02-02 0.140908 0.247049 0.414101 0.690834 1.130798 1.794019 2.856688
2025-02-09 0.126839 0.234267 0.411084 0.716307 1.220612 2.007965 3.311833
2025-02-16 0.109206 0.212315 0.389638 0.708262 1.254697 2.137110 3.645267
2025-02-23 0.092122 0.188353 0.361100 0.683835 1.257588 2.214610 3.900345
2025-03-02 0.077000 0.165419 0.330939 0.652099 1.243226 2.260372 4.104388
2025-03-09 0.071036 0.159247 0.330417 0.673430 1.323638 2.472170 4.605389
2025-03-16 0.060715 0.142501 0.307441 0.649544 1.318605 2.533641 4.848593
2025-03-23 0.055368 0.135761 0.303928 0.664244 1.389895 2.742260 5.380666
2025-03-30 0.050249 0.128720 0.298954 0.675631 1.456490 2.949195 5.929695
2025-04-06 0.044284 0.118642 0.286064 0.668827 1.485818 3.088012 6.362306
2025-04-13 0.039408 0.110264 0.275616 0.665680 1.521780 3.241912 6.835359
2025-04-20 0.037118 0.107919 0.278431 0.691859 1.621550 3.529328 7.591335
2025-04-27 0.037906 0.113687 0.300888 0.764899 1.828818 4.049049 8.848412
2025-05-04 0.035833 0.111431 0.303782 0.792883 1.939763 4.379833 9.746778
2025-05-11 0.031990 0.103577 0.291787 0.784046 1.967165 4.538242 10.301675
2025-05-18 0.027755 0.093766 0.273385 0.757208 1.950260 4.600433 10.658697
2025-05-25 0.023726 0.083735 0.252871 0.722330 1.910467 4.608885 10.900363
2025-06-01 0.022500 0.082156 0.254945 0.745774 2.013085 4.940612 11.869930